If NATO countries backed Turkey’s assumption of a high-profile geostrategic plum of serving as the Black Sea’s strategic arbiter, Turkey would be foolish in sustaining their objections to Sweden and Finland formally joining the larger NATO alliance. Removing the Russian Black Sea fleet from the board offers NATO a basis to settle out some long-term disagreements with Türkiye. A Ukraine peace agreement that forces Russia out of the Black Sea converts Turkey into the dominant arbiter of Black Sea security almost overnight. Black Sea Supremacy Is A Gift To Turkey:Įxpelling Russia from the Black Sea is a huge boon for the “on-the-move” Turkey, a surging regional power more formally known as the “Republic of Türkiye”. If Russia’s Black Sea Fleet remains in place after the war, Russian nationalists will soon find all kinds of ways to use it. Zelenskyy’s simple 10-point plan for peace is a great starting point, but it leaves Russia holding a big maritime knife to Ukraine’s commercial lifelines. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is still ongoing, but it is never too early to assemble the framework for a more peaceful future. A failure to roll back Russia’s dominance of the Black Sea makes future conflict inevitable, putting the world’s investments in Ukrainian resistance in peril. Russia’s aggression in Ukraine has cost the world an enormous amount. In essence, demilitarizing the Black Sea solves a lot of problems for both Ukraine as well for as the countries that count on unconstrained Black Sea trade routes.Ī stable and peaceful Black Sea is a great return on the international community’s investment in Ukraine’s continued resistance. Incorporating the Black Sea balance of power into a Ukraine peace agreement is an issue where Ukraine can attract more international support.
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